The Jacksonville Jaguars (+5) are set to pay a visit to the Miami Dolphins (-5) at Hard Rock Stadium. This early afternoon game kicks off at 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to CBS.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Miami Dolphins Betting Preview
The Jaguars come into this Sunday AFC matchup as the underdog and they’re currently receiving 5 points. If they are wanting to take the moneyline, gamblers would currently need to put up $200 in order to win $100 back on the Dolphins (-200). The Jaguars are getting +170 moneyline odds. Some good live betting opportunities could present themselves during the game, and Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 39.5 points.
The less-than-stellar Jaguars have lost 12.5 units so far and are 4-8-2 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U record of 6-8. The Dolphins are up 3.6 units this season. The team is 8-6 ATS and owns an even O/U record of 7-7.
The Jaguars are 4-10 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Dolphins are 7-7 SU.
The Jags fell to Washington 16-13 in a Week 15 matchup where Cody Kessler completed only nine passes on 17 attempts for 57 yards and one interception. Leonard Fournette (46 yards on 11 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Kessler (68 yards on six carries) spearheaded the ground attack. Dede Westbrook (three receptions, 21 yards) and Fournette (three catches, 18 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Back in Week 15, Minnesota knocked off this Miami crew by a score of 41-17. The Dolphins defensive unit allowed the Vikings to rush for 220 yards on 40 attempts, including three rush TDs. Dalvin Cook was on a different level for Minnesota, recording 136 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 19 attempts. For Miami, Ryan Tannehill completed 11-of-24 passes for 108 yards. Kalen Ballage (123 yards on 12 rush attempts, one TD) handled the running game as Danny Amendola (three receptions, 30 yards) and Kenyan Drake (three catches, 28 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.
Each team has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Jacksonville’s run the ball on 43.2 percent of its offensive possessions while Miami has an overall rush percentage of 45.0. The Jaguars have run for 112 yards per game and have six touchdowns on the ground this year. The Dolphins are totaling 113 rush yards per game and have seven total rushing TDs.
The Jags offense has averaged 227 yards in the air overall and has 15 passing TDs so far. The Dolphins have put up 215 pass yards per game and have 24 total pass scores.
Defensively, Jacksonville should have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 120 yards and pass for 212 yards per game. The Miami defense has allowed 269.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 145.2 yards per game on the ground. The Jags are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.65 to opposing QBs, while the Dolphins have allowed a 6.76 ANY/A.
Offensively, Kessler has amassed 363 passing yards this season. He’s completed 48-of-71 attempts with one scores through the air and two interceptions. Kessler’s got a 2.50 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 2.71 over the last two games.
Ryan Tannehill has completed 129-of-202 passes for 1,421 yards, 13 TDs and six INTs for Miami. His ANY/A sits at 5.38 for the year and 5.82 over his past two outings.
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Notes
Team Betting Notes
Jacksonville has averaged 4.3 yards per carry across its past three games and 5.0 over its last two.
Miami has averaged 6.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 8.4 over its last two.
The Miami offense has lost seven fumbles this season while Jacksonville has lost 14.
Jacksonville has lost 10 of its last 11 games SU, with a six-point win over Indianapolis on December 2nd accounting for the only victory over that stretch.
The Jaguars offense has recorded three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Dolphins have accounted for eight such plays.
The Jacksonville defense has allowed four pass plays of 40+ yards, while Miami has given up 10 such plays.
The Jacksonville offense has created nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Miami has created 12 such runs.
The Jaguars defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Dolphins have given up 18 such runs.
The Jacksonville defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 28 times this season. Miami has recorded 24 sacks.
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