The Denver Broncos (-2.5) are making a trip west to take on their AFC West nemesis Oakland Raiders at Oakland Coliseum. ESPN will broadcast the action and this Monday Night Football matchup gets underway at 8:15 p.m. ET.
Denver Broncos -2½ -140 ov 45
Oakland Raiders +2½ +120 un 45
Odds Provided by BetDSI.eu
In this early-week AFC matchup, Denver is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 2.5 points. The Broncos are also receiving -140 moneyline odds while the Raiders are +120. There could be multiple good live betting possibilities for this match, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 45 points.
The line opened at 3 while the over/under hasn’t moved since it opened at 45.
The Broncos have lost 1.4 units so far in 2018 and are 6-7-1 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 3-11. The Raiders have lost 5.3 units this season. The team is 5-9 ATS and has an even O/U record of 7-7.
The Broncos have gone 6-8 straight up (SU), including 2-2 SU against AFC West opponents. The Raiders are 3-11 SU overall and 0-4 SU against divisional foes.
The Broncos came up short to Cleveland 17-16 in a Week 15 game where their defense allowed the Browns to rush for 134 yards on 28 attempts. Nick Chubb had a good day for the opposition in that one with 100 rushing yards on 20 attempts. On the offensive side, Case Keenum completed 31-of-48 passes for 257 yards and two interceptions. Phillip Lindsay (only 24 rushing yards on 14 attempts) provided the running attack in the loss while DaeSean Hamilton (seven receptions, 46 yards) and Tim Patrick (five catches, 65 yards) manned the receiving duties.
In Week 15, Cincinnati knocked off this Oakland team by a score of 30-16. The Raiders defense let the Bengals run for 171 yards on 41 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Joe Mixon put up a good showing in the win for Cincinnati, posting 129 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 27 attempts. For Oakland, Derek Carr completed 21-of-38 passes for 263 yards and one touchdown. Doug Martin (39 rushing yards on nine attempts) mounted the ground game in the defeat while Jordy Nelson (six receptions, 88 yards) and Richard (five catches, 67 yards) led the receiving attack.
Looking at offensive play-calling, each of these squads sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Denver’s run the ball on 40.6 percent of its offensive possessions while Oakland has a rush percentage of 39.8. Having said that, the Broncos have produced 123 rush yards per game (including 156 per game versus West opponents) and have 18 scores via handoffs this year. The Raiders haven’t been quite as successful. They’re totaling 99 rushing yards per game (105 in conference) and have seven total rush TDs.
Based on the results so far, it appears the Broncos should own an advantage when it comes to RB effectiveness, as their backfield has logged 5.0 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 4.6 to opponents. The Raiders have tallied 4.2 yards per carry and allowed a YPC of 4.8 to opponents.
The Broncos offensive scheme has tallied 245 yards/game through the air overall (237 per game against conference opposition) and has 16 passing TDs so far. The Raiders have produced 265 pass yards per outing (271.0 against AFC competition) and have 19 total pass scores.
Denver has let opponents run for an average of 120 yards and throw for 278 yards per game. The Oakland defense has allowed 244.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 146.4 yards per game to opposing runners. The Broncos are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.35 to opponents, while the Raiders have given up an 8.15 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Keenum has put up 3,210 yards this season, and has connected on 63 percent of his 459 attempts with 14 scores through the air and 12 interceptions. He’s got a 5.60 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 3.61 over the past two outings.
In the home locker room, Derek Carr has completed 313-of-460 passes for 3,375 yards, 17 TDs and eight INTs. Carr’s ANY/A sits at 6.18 for the year and 7.26 over his past two games.
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Over/Under for Denver’s previous game going into it was 47.5. The under cashed in the team’s 17-16 loss to Cleveland.
As a team, Denver has averaged 4.4 yards per carry across its last three games and 2.9 over its last two.
Oakland has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.0 over its last two.
Oakland has lost 12 fumbles this season while Denver has lost three.
Over its last three matches, Denver is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
The O/U for Oakland’s previous match was set at 45.5. The over cashed in the 30-16 defeat to Cincinnati.
In its last three matches, Oakland is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The Broncos offense has created eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Raiders have accounted for seven such plays.
The Denver defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Oakland has given up 12 such plays.
The Denver offense has created 12 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Oakland has created seven such runs.
The Broncos defense has allowed 13 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Raiders have given up 11 such runs.
The Denver D has 42 sacks on the year while Oakland has just 12.
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