The Oakland Raiders (+3) are set to pay a visit to the Miami Dolphins (-3) at Hard Rock Stadium. CBS is scheduled to televise the action and this early afternoon game starts at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Oakland Raiders at Miami Dolphins Betting Preview
In this Sunday AFC game, Miami is projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 3 points. The Raiders are also receiving +130 moneyline odds while the Dolphins are -150. If one squad can find paydirt early it would create a decent live betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 43.5 points.
The game’s total has been driven down after originally being set at 44. The opening line has stayed consistent.
The Raiders are down 2.0 units so far and 1-1 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 0-2. The surprising Dolphins are up 2.3 units this season. The team is 2-0 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-1.
The Raiders have gone only 0-2 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Dolphins are 2-0 SU.
These two teams faced off last year with the final result being a 27-24 win for Oakland.
The Raiders are still seeking win No. 1 after a 20-19 defeat to Denver last week. The passing game was sharp as Derek Carr completed 29 passes on 32 attempts for 288 yards and one touchdown. Marshawn Lynch (65 rushing yards on 18 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack while Amari Cooper (10 receptions, 116 yards) and Jared Cook (four catches, 49 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Miami is coming off of a 20-12 win over the Jets a week ago. The team’s defensive secondary allowed the Jets to air it out for 334 yards. Quincy Enunwa was a bright spot in the defeat, recording 92 yards on seven catches for New York. For Miami, Ryan Tannehill completed 17-of-23 passes for 168 yards and two touchdowns. Kenyan Drake (53 rushing yards on 11 attempts, one TD) mounted the running game as Danny Amendola (four receptions, 32 yards) and Drake (four catches, 17 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Oakland has run the ball on 41.0 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Miami has an overall rush percentage of 54.1 percent. The Raiders have produced 94 rush yards/game and have two touchdowns on the ground this year. The Dolphins are averaging 128 rush yards per game and have just one rushing TD.
If 2018 results are any indication, then it appears the Dolphins might have the edge in all aspects of the ground game, as their backfield has logged 4.3 yards per carry while the defense has allowed a YPC of 3.3 to opponents. The Raiders have ran for 3.7 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 5.7 to opponents.
The Raiders offensive scheme has logged 296 yards per game through the air overall and has only one passing TDs so far. The Dolphins have recorded 199 pass yards per contest and have four total pass score.
On the defensive side of the ball, Oakland appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 154 rush yards and 228 pass yards per game. The Miami D has allowed 277.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 79.0 yards per game on the ground. The Dolphins are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.09 to opponents, while the Raiders have allowed a 6.24 ANY/A.
Offensively, Carr has amassed 288 passing yards this season. The signal-caller has completed 29-of-32 attempts with one scores through the air and has yet to throw an interception. Carr’s got a 9.12 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 6.30 over the past two games.
We expect the Oakland offense to mix it up in this one. Jared Cook (49 receiving yards on the year), Amari Cooper (116 receiving yards) and Marshawn Lynch (65 rush yards, one rush TD) have each played big roles recently.
Ryan Tannehill has completed 17-of-23 passes for 168 yards, two TDs and zero INTs for Miami. His ANY/A sits at 6.00 for the year and 5.96 over his last two outings.
We’re thinking the Dolphins will control the game’s clock by feeding the running backs early and often. Along with WR Kenny Stills (17 receiving yards this season), Kenyan Drake (53 rush yards, one rush TD, 17 receiving yards) and Frank Gore (25 rush yards) have been significant factors in the Miami offense.
Free Prediction: Oakland Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins
SU Winner – Dolphins, ATS Winner – Dolphins, O/U – Over
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Miami offense has lost two fumbles this season while Oakland has not lost any.
The Miami defense has registered three sacks on the year while Oakland has two.
Oakland was favored by 6 points in its last game and the Over/Under was 44.5. The under cashed and Oakland failed to cover in the 20-19 loss to Denver.
Miami was favored by 3 points in its previous match and the Over/Under was set at 43. The under cashed and Miami covered in the 20-12 triumph over the Jets.
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