The Buffalo Bills (+9) are heading southwest to take on the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium. This early afternoon game is scheduled to get going at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS will broadcast the action.
Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans Betting Preview
Buffalo is a big road underdog in this AFC matchup and is currently getting 9 points. The Bills are also receiving +270 moneyline odds while the Texans are -350. On the surface it looks like this game might present some live betting possibilities.
The Bills have lost 0.8 units this season and are 2-3 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 2-3. The Texans have lost 3.1 units for moneyline bettors in 2018. They’re 1-3-1 ATS and also have an O/U record of 2-3.
The Bills are 2-3 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Texans are also 2-3 SU.
The Bills enter after a 13-12 victory over Tennessee in Week 5. Josh Allen completed only 10-of-19 passes for 82 yards and one interception. LeSean McCoy (85 yards on 24 rush attempts) and Chris Ivory (43 yards on 14 carries) provided the ground attack in the win while Zay Jones (three receptions, 20 yards) and McCoy (two catches, 23 yards) manned the receiving duties.
Houston just got a 19-16 win over Dallas last week. The let the Cowboys put up 208 yards through the air and 98 more on the ground. Ezekiel Elliott was a bright spot in the defeat for Dallas, recording 54 rushing yards on 20 attempts, along with 30 yards on seven catches. For Houston, Deshaun Watson completed 33-of-44 passes for 375 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Alfred Blue (46 rushing yards on 20 attempts) and the signal-caller Watson (40 yards on 10 carries) led the ground game in the win while DeAndre Hopkins (nine receptions, 151 yards) led the pass-catching attack.
Buffalo has run the ball on 50.0 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Houston has a rush percentage of 43.0 percent. The Bills have produced 99 rush yards per game and have four scores via handoffs this year. The Texans are averaging 116 rush yards per game and have two total rushing TDs.
If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then it appears the Texans could hold an edge when it comes to RB efficiency. Their backfield has produced 4.0 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 3.4 to opponents. The Bills have tallied 3.5 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 3.9 to opponents.
The Bills offense has logged 154 yards per contest through the air overall and has two passing scores so far. The Texans have put up 324 pass yards per contest and have eight total pass TDs.
Defensively, Buffalo seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 96 rush yards and 248 pass yards per game. The Houston defense has allowed 287.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 95.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bills are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.05 to opponents, while the Texans have given up a 7.48 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Allen is up to 597 yards this season. He’s connected on 55 percent of his 89 attempts with two scores through the air and three interceptions. Allen has a 4.11 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 0.52 over the past two games.
For the home team, Deshaun Watson has connected on 96-of-150 passes for 1,246 yards, six TDs and four INTs. Watson’s ANY/A sits at 7.01 for the year and 7.35 over his last two outings.
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
Houston has lost three fumbles this season while Buffalo has let one get away.
The Houston defense has created 13 sacks on the year while Buffalo has 12.
Buffalo has averaged 3.4020618556701 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.4 over its last two.
Houston has averaged 3.1 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.1 over its last two.
In its last three games, Houston is 1-1-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Buffalo was the underdog by 7 points in its last game and the O/U going into it was 38. The under cashed and Buffalo covered in the 13-12 win over Tennessee.
Over its last three contests, Buffalo is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
Houston was favored by 3 points in its last game and the Over/Under was 45.5. The under cashed and the spread pushed in the 19-16 triumph over Dallas.
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