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Week 6 Free Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals

Two teams that like to air it out, the Pittsburgh Steelers (+3) are set to pay a visit to their AFC North counterpart Cincinnati Bengals (-3) at Paul Brown Stadium. This crucial early afternoon game starts at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS is scheduled to televise the action.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview

In this Sunday AFC game, Cincinnati is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 3 points. The Steelers are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Bengals are -140. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 53 points, and if one squad finds paydirt early, it’ll likely result in a decent live betting opportunity.

The game’s total has moved downward after originally being set at 54.5. The opening spread has not changed.

The Steelers are 2-3 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 1.2 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 4-1. The Bengals have been a nice surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 3.3 units. The team is 4-1 ATS and also has an O/U record of 4-1.

The Steelers have gone 2-2-1 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against AFC North opponents. The Bengals are 4-1 SU overall and 1-0 SU against divisional foes.

The Steelers are coming off a resounding 41-17 victory over Atlanta in Week 5 where their secondary allowed the Falcons to air it out for 305 yards. Austin Hooper had a good day for the Falcons in that one with 77 yards on nine catches. Offensively, Ben Roethlisberger completed 19-of-29 passes for 250 yards, three scores and one interception. James Conner (110 rushing yards on 21 attempts, two TDs) led the ground attack while Antonio Brown (six receptions, 101 yards, two TDs) and Conner (four catches, 75 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Cincinnati just earned a 27-17 win over Miami in Week 5. The defense allowed the Dolphins to rush for 128 yards on 22 attempts. Kenyan Drake was a bright spot in the loss for Miami, recording 46 rushing yards on six attempts, along with 69 yards on seven catches. For Cincinnati, Andy Dalton completed 20-of-30 passes for 248 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Joe Mixon (93 rushing yards on 22 attempts) handled the running attack as A.J. Green (six receptions, 112 yards) and Tyler Boyd (four catches, 44 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Pittsburgh’s run the ball on 33.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Cincinnati has a rush percentage of 37.0 percent. The Steelers have run for 84 yards/game (including 89 per game against North opponents) and have six scores on the ground this year. The Bengals are putting up 95 rush yards per game (108 in conference) and have four total rushing TDs.

The Steelers offensive scheme has tallied 333 yards per game through the air overall (305 per game against conference opposition) and has 11 passing scores so far. The Bengals have put up 289 pass yards per contest (265.0 in the AFC) and have 12 total pass TDs.

Pittsburgh has let opponents run for an average of 105 yards and pass for 320 yards per game. The Cincinnati defense has allowed 289.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 118.2 yards per game on the ground. The Bengals are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.20 to opponents, while the Steelers have allowed a 6.97 ANY/A.

Offensively, Roethlisberger is already up to 1,390 passing yards on the year, and has completed 66 percent of his 168 attempts with 10 scores through the air and five interceptions. He has a 7.47 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.56 over the last two outings.

Andy Dalton has completed 94-of-146 passes for 1,108 yards, nine TDs and six INTs for Cincinnati. His ANY/A stands at 6.34 for the season and 6.93 over his last two games.

RELATED: Week 6 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions 

Free Betting Pick: Steelers vs. Bengals

SU Winner – Bengals, ATS Winner – Bengals, O/U – Under

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Steelers offense has produced five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Bengals have put up one such play.

The Pittsburgh defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Cincinnati has given up two such plays.

The Pittsburgh offense has created three rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Cincinnati has created five such runs.

The Steelers defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Bengals have given up two such runs.

The Pittsburgh D has 19 sacks on the year while Cincinnati has just 13.

Pittsburgh has rushed for 3.67741935483871 yards per attempt over its past three games and 3.8 over its last two.

Cincinnati has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.1 over its past two.

Over its last three matches, Cincinnati is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Pittsburgh was favored by 4 points in its last game and the Over/Under was set at 57. The over cashed and Pittsburgh covered in the 41-17 victory over Atlanta.

In its last three games, Pittsburgh is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Cincinnati was favored by 6 points in its previous outing and the O/U was set at 48. The under cashed and Cincinnati covered in the 27-17 win over Miami.

*****

Written by GMS Previews

Ezekiel Elliott, Fantasy, NFL, Dallas Cowboys, Fantasy Football

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