The Atlanta Falcons (+2) are heading northeast to battle the Washington Redskins at FedEx Field. This early afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to FOX.
Atlanta Falcons vs. Washington Redskins Betting Preview
In this Sunday NFC game, Washington is getting picked as the favorite and is currently giving up 2 points. The Falcons are also receiving +105 moneyline odds while the Redskins are -125. It appears that there might be some good live betting possibilities in this matchup, and Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 47.5 points.
This game’s line opened at -2. The over/under hasn’t moved since it was initially established at 47.5.
The Falcons are down 1.9 units so far in 2018 and 2-5 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 5-2. The Redskins have gained 1.9 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 5-2 ATS and own an O/U record of 2-5.
The Falcons are 3-4 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Redskins are 5-2 SU.
The Falcons just got a 23-20 win over the Giants on October 22 where their secondary gave up 399 passing yards. Sterling Shepard had a good day for the Giants in that one with 167 yards on five catches. On the offensive side, Matt Ryan completed 31-of-39 passes for 379 yards and one touchdown. Tevin Coleman (50 yards on 11 rush attempts, one TD) led the ground attack in the win while Julio Jones (nine receptions, 104 yards) and Calvin Ridley (five catches, 43 yards) handled the receiving duties.
Washington enters this one having just earned a 20-13 win over the Giants in Week 8. The defensive secondary allowed the Giants to air it out for 316 yards. Odell Beckham Jr. was a bright spot in the loss, posting 136 yards on eight catches for New York. For Washington, Alex Smith completed 20-of-32 passes for 178 yards and one touchdown. Adrian Peterson (149 rushing yards on 26 attempts, one TD) mounted the ground attack in the win while Jordan Reed (seven receptions, 38 yards) and Josh Doctson (five catches, 49 yards) led the pass-catching attack.
Atlanta’s run the ball on 36.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Washington has an overall rush percentage of 47.9 percent. The Falcons have produced 83 rush yards per game and have seven scores via handoffs this year. The Redskins are putting up 128 rush yards per game and have six total rushing TDs.
It appears that the Redskins may own the advantage when it comes to efficiency in the ground game. Their running backs has produced 4.3 yards per carry while the defense has allowed 3.8 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Falcons have rushed for 3.7 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.8 to opponents.
The Falcons offensive scheme has logged a superb 336 yards/contest in the air overall and has 15 passing scores so far. The Redskins have put up 223 pass yards per outing and have eight total pass TDs.
Atlanta has let opponents run for an average of 113 yards and pass for 321 yards per game. The Washington defense has allowed 260.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 80.1 yards per game on the ground. The Redskins are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.84 to opponents, while the Falcons have given up a 7.59 ANY/A.
Offensively, Ryan has already amassed 1,980 passing yards on the year. He’s connected on 156-of-222 attempts with 12 passing scores and only two interceptions. Ryan has a pristine 8.33 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 9.32 over the last two outings.
We expect the Atlanta offense to mix it up in this one. Julio Jones, Tevin Coleman and Austin Hooper have combined for 490 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns over the last couple of outings.
Alex Smith has connected on 130-of-203 passes for 1,383 yards, seven TDs and two INTs for Washington. His ANY/A stands at 6.34 for the season and 6.78 over his last two outings.
Similar to the Falcons, expect a balanced attack offensively from Washington this Sunday. Adrian Peterson, Josh Doctson and Jordan Reed have combined for 435 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns as a trio the last two outings.
RELATED: Week 9 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions
Betting Pick: Falcons vs. Redskins
SU Winner – Redskins, ATS Winner – Redskins, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Falcons offense has produced five pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Redskins have accounted for three such plays.
The Atlanta defense has allowed six pass plays of 40+ yards, while Washington has given up four such plays.
Both defenses have produced four rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Atlanta offense has recorded 16 running plays of 10+ yards while Washington has accounted for 23 such plays.
The Falcons defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Redskins have given up zero such runs.
The Washington defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 21 times this year. Atlanta has registered just 14 sacks.
Atlanta has averaged 3.3 yards per rush attempt across its past three games and 3.3 over its last two.
Washington has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.8 over its last two.
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