The Dolphins (-3) are gearing up to welcome the New York Jets to Miami. Kickoff for this AFC East game is set for 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to CBS.
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins Betting Preview
New York is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 3 points. The Jets are also receiving +130 moneyline odds while the Dolphins are -150. Should one team can create a bunch of points early on it’ll generate a worthwhile live betting opportunity. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 46 points.
The game’s total has shifted upward after opening at 45.5. The original line has remained consistent.
The Jets have lost 1.2 units so far and are 3-5 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under record of 5-3. The Dolphins are up 1.6 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 4-4 ATS and also own an O/U record of 5-3.
The Jets are 3-5 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against AFC East opponents. The Dolphins are 4-4 SU overall and 1-1 SU against divisional foes.
Each team enters the matchup on a two-game losing skid. The Jets dropped one to Chicago 24-10 in a Week 8 game where the passing attack the primary culprit as Sam Darnold completed only 14 passes on 29 attempts for 153 yards and one touchdown. Isaiah Crowell (just 25 rushing yards on 13 attempts) provided the ground attack while Deontay Burnett (four receptions, 61 yards) and Cannon (three catches, 12 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Miami just fell 42-23 to Houston in Week 8. The team’s defensive unit allowed the Texans to rush for 188 yards on 35 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Lamar Miller had a good showing in the win, recording 133 rushing yards and a score on 18 attempts for Houston. For Miami, Brock Osweiler completed 21-of-37 passes for 241 yards and one interception. Kenyan Drake (58 rushing yards on 12 attempts, one TD) and Frank Gore (53 yards on 12 carries) handled the running game as DeVante Parker (six receptions, 134 yards) and Danny Amendola (five catches, 43 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
New York has run the ball on 46.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Miami has a rush percentage of 43.2 percent. The Jets have produced 114 rush yards per game (including 42 per game versus East opponents) and have six touchdowns on the ground this year. The Dolphins are averaging 108 rush yards per game (96 in conference) and have three total rushing TDs.
The Jets offense has averaged 213 yards through the air overall (334 per game against conference opposition) and has 11 passing scores so far. The Dolphins have recorded 243 pass yards per game (151.5 against AFC competition) and have 16 total pass TDs.
Defensively, New York has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 115 yards and throw for 277 yards per game. The Miami D has allowed 274.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 143.1 yards per game to opposing runners. The Jets are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.84 to opponents, while the Dolphins have allowed a 7.28 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Darnold is up to 1,499 yards this year, and has completed 58 percent of his 208 attempts with 10 scores through the air and seven interceptions. He’s got a 5.84 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 3.29 over the last two outings.
The Jets have tried to maintain tempo by pounding the defense with their running backs. Trenton Cannon (25 rush yards, 18 receiving yards) and Isaiah Crowell (455 rush yards, five rush TDs, 61 receiving yards) have been significant focal points in the offensive scheme for New York.
In the other huddle, Brock Osweiler has completed 53-of-86 passes for 656 yards, four TDs and three INTs. Osweiler’s ANY/A sits at 6.66 for the season and 5.89 over his last two games.
The Dolphins also prefer to keep their running backs involved. In addition to Kenyan Drake (182 receiving yards, two receiving TDs), DeVante Parker (174 receiving yards) and Danny Amendola (253 receiving yards) have gotten a lot of touches recently.
RELATED: Week 9 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions
Free NFL Pick: New York Jets at Miami Dolphins
SU Winner – Dolphins, ATS Winner – Dolphins, O/U – Over
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Miami offense has lost five fumbles this season while New York has let six get away.
The New York D has sacked opposing quarterbacks 17 times this season. Miami has recorded just 11 sacks.
New York has produced 2.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and 2.7 over its last two.
Miami has averaged 5.1 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 5.1 over its last two.
In its last three games, Miami is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
The Over/Under for New York’s last game was set at 42. The under cashed in the team’s 24-10 defeat to Chicago.
In its last three matchups, New York is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Miami’s previous matchup was set at 45.5. The over cashed in the 42-23 loss to Houston.
Miami has dropped five of its last six games SU, with a three-point win over Chicago on October 14th accounting for its one victory over that span.
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