It’s not too hard to find a great deal of value in underexposed markets. Our FCS picks are crushing it in college football betting. Last week, our picks went 3-0 and they are now a sterling 11-3-1 ATS on the season. Our Week 5 plays were the most convincing yet with Elon easily beating New Hampshire 30-9 as a six-point favorite, Eastern Washington cruising to a 34-17 win in a pick’em against Montana State and South Dakota State keeping it within the number against North Dakota State in a close loss. We’re well on our way toward a profitable season, so let’s keep it rolling.
Week 1 Record: 3-1 ATS
Week 2 Record: 3-0 ATS
Week 3 Record: 1-1 ATS
Week 4 Record: 1-1-1 ATS
Week 5 Record: 3-0 ATS
This Week’s FCS Football Betting Odds (Courtesy of BetDSI)
Stony Brook at Towson Over 51.5
This line doesn’t make sense. Towson has one of the best offenses in the FCS with Tom Flacco at the helm. He has torched opponents through the air and on the ground, and the Tigers have been scoring a ton of points. Flacco has 1,452 total yards of offense through just four games, and he should have little trouble moving the chains against a Stony Brook defense that has yet to see a dual-threat quarterback of his caliber.
Related: College Football Teasers
Stony Brook is going to score some points too. Towson is allowing 412 yards of offense a game, and the Seawolves have a solid quarterback of their own in Joe Carbone. Carbone has looked sharp in getting this team out to a 4-1 start, and his run game has helped relieve pressure by racking up a lot of yards. Donald Liotine and Jordan Gowins each rushed for over 100 yards in Stony Brook’s first three FCS games, and they could both have big days.
Elon +30 at James Madison
We’re going to go back to the well with Elon too. The Phoenix are not getting the credit they deserve after blowing out Furman and New Hampshire. They have looked more competent on offense as Davis Cheek continues to grow as a sophomore, and the team as a whole has grown by leaps and bounds under Curt Cignetti.
James Madison is one of the best teams in the country, but this is simply too many points. The Dukes have blown all four of their FCS opponents out and that has led to this line being inflated against a very good Elon team that will turn this game into a grind.
Villanova at Maine Under 43.5
If you only look at the stats, this seems like a bad play. However, neither starting quarterback seems likely to play, and both offenses have struggled mightily without their No. 1 options under center.
We saw just how shallow the depth behind Zack Bednarczyk was last year. Villanova collapsed after Bednarczyk went down with a season-ending injury, scoring a total of 56 points in their last five games. Jack Schetelich would get the start if Bednarczyk had to sit, and he completed just 37.7 percent of his passes in 2017.
Maine’s Chris Ferguson has been out since injuring his shoulder against Central Michigan on September 22, and the offense has sputtered without him. Freshman quarterback Isaiah Robinson has completed only 44 percent of his passes, and the offense could only muster five points against Central Michigan and 14 points against Yale last week.
Keep an eye on the local newspapers prior to this game and hammer the under if both quarterbacks are indeed out.
