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West Virginia Mountaineers at Texas Tech Red Raiders ATS Preview 02/04/19

Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports

The West Virginia Mountaineers (10-12, 2-7 Big 12) will try to put an end to their six-game road losing streak in a matchup against the No. 16 Texas Tech Red Raiders (17-5, 5-4 Big 12) at United Supermarkets Arena. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, February 4, 2019, and will air on ESPN.

West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders ATS Prediction

The Mountaineers come in on a high note after topping the Oklahoma Sooners in their last outing, 79-71. West Virginia won the rebounding battle. The Mountaineers had 18 offensive rebounds and 46 total rebounds, while the Sooners had seven and 30, respectively. Derek Culver had a good outing for West Virginia, contributing 13 points and 14 rebounds.

In the Red Raiders’ last game, they fell to the No. 11 Kansas Jayhawks, 79-63. Kansas’ effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Texas Tech. The Jayhawks had a rate of 0.568 (above their season average of 0.532), while the Red Raiders posted a mark of 0.391 (below their season average of 0.530). With 12 points and 10 rebounds, Tariq Owens had a good game for Texas Tech.

From an effective field goal percentage perspective, Texas Tech figures to have a noteworthy edge. The Red Raiders defense ranks third in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.422), while the West Virginia offense is ranked 290th in effective field goal percentage (0.485). It could also be an error-filled game for the offense of the Mountaineers, which ranks 321st in ball security (turnover percentage of 22.0 percent). They’ll be going up against the top-notch defense of the Red Raiders, which forces the 13th-most turnovers in the NCAA (23.7 percent).

This is the second game of the season between these two squads. Lamont West scored a game-high 22 points in the first game, in which the Mountaineers lost 62-59. Texas Tech had a much better turnover percentage (16.5 vs. 27.8). West Virginia, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (33.3 vs. 23.1).

West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders ATS Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Texas Tech, ATS Winner – West Virginia, O/U – Under

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Notes

Betting Notes:

West Virginia ranks 20th in rebounds per game (40.0) while Texas Tech ranks 208th (34.4).

The Mountaineers rank 122nd in three pointers attempted per game (23.3) while the Red Raiders rank 266th (18.4).

Texas Tech averages 7.2 steals per game, which ranks 69th in the nation. West Virginia ranks 211th in steals allowed per game (8.4).

The Red Raiders rank fourth in assists allowed per game (9.5) while the Mountaineers rank 119th (12.9).

Texas Tech blocks 4.9 opponent shots per game, which is ranked 19th in the NCAA. West Virginia ranks 99th in blocks allowed per game (3.4).

Bettings Trends:

The Mountaineers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 9.0, up from 1.0 for the season.

During their last five games, the Red Raiders have scored an average of 64.2 points per game (6.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 67.8 points per game (10.0 above their season average).

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Written by GMS Previews

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