Mountain West foes will collide when the Air Force Falcons (10-12) face the Wyoming Cowboys (11-12) at Clune Arena. Action begins at 9:00 pm ET on Tuesday, Feb. 2 and can be seen on RT.
The Falcons are hoping to rebound after their 75-54 loss to San Jose State on Saturday. Frank Toohey was the game’s leading scorer with 17 points. The Cowboys, meanwhile, are coming off an 83-76 win against Colorado State on Saturday. Josh Adams led the game in scoring by accounting for 28 points on 9-for-21 shooting.
Adams has upped his play for the Cowboys, averaging 30.2 points, 5.8 rebounds, 3.5 assists, 0.8 steals, and 3.8 three-pointers over the past five games.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams, with the Cowboys winning the first matchup 64-52. Adams put up 20 points and 10 rebounds.
Wyoming is a slim two-point favorite over Air Force. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently 131 points. The Falcons come into this game 10-12 Straight Up (SU) and 6-10 Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last 10 games, they have only managed a record of 1-8 ATS.
Over on the other bench, the Cowboys have 11-12 SU and 10-8-1 ATS records. The Cowboys rely heavily on three-pointers on offense, ranking 17th in the nation with 214 made (9.0 per game).
With the Cowboys’ last win against Air Force, Wyoming moved closer to evening up its record against Air Force. It now stands at 4-6 SU over their most recent meetings. With a 6-3-1 record, the Falcons also have the advantage ATS. Over the last five matchups, Air Force held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers two times. Wyoming performed this feat one time.
Predictions: SU Winner – Wyo, ATS Winner – Wyo, O/U – Over
Notes
Air Force is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games.
Air Force is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
Air Force is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Air Force’s last 12 games when playing Wyoming.
Air Force is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Wyoming.
Air Force is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Wyoming.
Air Force scores just 73.2 points per home game (ranked 250th). Wyoming ranks 59th in points allowed on the road, giving up 69.3 points.
Air Force averages 69.1 possessions per game, scoring .978 points on each possession. While Wyoming averages fewer possessions per game with 67.3, they score more points per possession with 1.054.
Air Force has an average effective field goal percentage of 47.0%. Wyoming is an underachieving 5-8 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.
Air Force attempts an average of 17.0 three pointers per game and Wyoming attempts 25.0. In games where they have 20 or more three point attempts, the Air Force Falcons have a losing 2-7 record while the Wyoming Cowboys have a 9-12 record.
On average, Air Force forces a turnover rate of 19.3%. When Wyoming turns over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a winning 5-3 record.