The Wyoming Cowboys (1-9) are hoping to end a three-game losing streak as they meet the San Diego State Aztecs (6-3). The country’s second-leading rusher, Brian Hill (1,327 yards, 5 TDs), will play an integral role in the outcome of this contest. Players will take the field Saturday, Nov 14 at 10:30 p.m. ET and it will air on CBSS.
In its last game before the bye, San Diego State cruised past Colorado State 41-17. Donnel Pumphrey had a huge game on the ground in the victory, rushing for 121 yards and two TDs on 20 carries. Mikah Holder had 72 receiving yards on two receptions. Wyoming didn’t have the same success as San Diego State, losing to Colorado State 26-7. Kellen Overstreet had a good performance running the ball for the Cowboys, carrying two times for 31 yards.
A close score is not projected this week when the Cowboys, a substantial 19-point underdog, take on San Diego State. The Over/Under (O/U) is currently at 50 points for this matchup.
Sitting at 6-3 Straight Up (SU) and 5-4 Against The Spread (ATS), the Aztecs will look to improve heading into Week 11. San Diego State had incredible success over the last five games, going 5-0 SU and ATS. San Diego State has seen an increase in scoring in recent weeks compared to its 28.9 points per game average. Over the past five games, they’ve averaged 33 points per game. A focal point of San Diego State’s offense is the running game, which ranks 23rd in the country with 214.1 rushing yards per game. Crossing over to the defensive side of the ball, the Aztecs look to have a distinct advantage in certain spots. Expect the 10th-ranked Aztecs run defense to cause headaches for the Cowboys run game. The Aztecs give up 107.6 rushing yards per game. The Cowboys need to watch out for San Diego State’s tenacious defense. It averages the eighth-most turnovers with 2.3 per game. The Aztecs make it hard on their opponents early, averaging 8.9 points in the first 15 minutes.
Across the field, the Cowboys have a record of 5-5 ATS and 1-9 SU. In the previous five games, Wyoming has a record of 1-4 SU and 3-2 ATS. Wyoming’s defense ranks in the top half of the nation for passing yards allowed and will look to bolster its statistics this week against the 120th-ranked passing attack of the Aztecs, which only averages 147 yards through the air per game.
Predictions: SU Winner – San Diego State, ATS Winner – San Diego State, O/U – Over
Notes
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of San Diego State’s last 22 games.
San Diego State is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Diego State’s last 11 games at home.
San Diego State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Wyoming.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Diego State’s last 8 games when playing Wyoming.
San Diego State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Wyoming.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Diego State’s last 5 games when playing at home against Wyoming.
Wyoming is 1-0 SU when leading at the start of the 4th quarter this season. San Diego State is 6-1 SU when carrying a lead into the fourth quarter.
The San Diego State defense has forced an average of 2.3 turnovers per game this season. Wyoming is 0-5 SU when turning the ball over at least 2.0 times in a game.
According to overall FBS team rankings, San Diego State is rated higher in the ground game on both sides of the ball. Its 23rd-ranked rushing attack will face the 117th-ranked run defense of Wyoming, while its 10th-ranked run defense will look to contain the 61st-ranked rushing game of the Cowboys.
